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Will AI replace Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language Instructors?

Work in Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language Instructors sits in the in-between: AI reaches some of it (~40% in theory) but is only measured doing about 6% today — part human, part machine.

The Hybrid Zone Part human, part AI — already a blend.

O*NET-SOC 25-3011

How your 29 core tasks split

62% within AI's reach
5 AI can do this now
13 AI speeds this up
11 Still on you
AI could do · GPT-4 study
40%
34-pt gap
AI actually does · 2026 report
6%

Top = what GPT-4 judged AI could speed up. Bottom = how much AI was actually used for these tasks (Anthropic's March 2026 report, usage from Aug & Nov 2025). The gap is the real story.

⚡ The short answer

Back in 2023, GPT-4 judged AI could, in theory, assist with a moderate share of this job's tasks (~40%). By late 2025, real-world AI use had reached about 6% of its task activity (still rare). The gap between that 2023 forecast and today is the real story.

Where this job sits among 738 jobs

Being automatedTicking (can, but unused)Relatively safeQuietly happeningYOU0%50%100%0%40%75% → How much AI could do (theory) → How much AI is actually used (late 2025)

Each dot is one of 738 U.S. jobs. Right = AI can do more of it. Up = AI is actually used more.

Stableconfidence

The signals here line up

Theoretical reach (~40%), real-world use (~6%) and the task-level picture mostly agree — so this read is more reliable than for jobs where the signals contradict each other. Even so, AI-risk estimates shift by model (a 2026 study saw the "high-risk" share swing 2.7%–51.5%), so treat these as directional, not destiny.

See all 29 tasks, ratedBased on real task-level AI scores — click to collapse
AI can already do this5 of 29
  • Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects and communicate those objectives to students.
  • Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws or administrative policies.
  • Prepare for assigned classes and show written evidence of preparation upon request of immediate supervisors.
  • Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
  • Attend professional meetings, conferences, and workshops to maintain and improve professional competence.
AI speeds this up13 of 29
  • Observe and evaluate students' work to determine progress and make suggestions for improvement.
  • Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs, abilities, and interests.
  • Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.
  • Assign and grade class work and homework.
  • Prepare and administer written, oral, and performance tests and issue grades in accordance with performance.
  • Prepare and implement remedial programs for students requiring extra help.
  • Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
  • Prepare objectives and outlines for courses of study, following curriculum guidelines or requirements of states and schools.
  • Review instructional content, methods, and student evaluations to assess strengths and weaknesses, and to develop recommendations for course revision, development, or elimination.
  • Register, orient, and assess new students according to standards and procedures.
  • Collaborate with other teachers and professionals in the development of instructional programs.
  • Select, order, and issue books, materials, and supplies for courses or projects.
  • Confer with other staff members to plan and schedule lessons that promote learning, following approved curricula.
Still on you11 of 29
  • Observe students to determine qualifications, limitations, abilities, interests, and other individual characteristics.
  • Prepare students for further education by encouraging them to explore learning opportunities and to persevere with challenging tasks.
  • Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
  • Instruct students individually and in groups, using various teaching methods, such as lectures, discussions, and demonstrations.
  • Conduct classes, workshops, and demonstrations to teach principles, techniques, or methods in subjects, such as basic English language skills, life skills, and workforce entry skills.
  • Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among the students for whom they are responsible.
  • Enforce administration policies and rules governing students.
  • Attend staff meetings and serve on committees, as required.
  • Meet with other professionals to discuss individual students' needs and progress.
  • Guide and counsel students with adjustment or academic problems or special academic interests.
  • Plan and supervise class projects, field trips, visits by guest speakers, contests, or other experiential activities, and guide students in learning from those activities.

My job is in The Hybrid Zone 🤝

Half me, half machine. Honestly? Not mad about it.

Theoretical estimate · not a prediction · gistgarden.com

How we measured this — and how fresh it is

AI's theoretical reach data: 2023

From GPTs-are-GPTs (Eloundou et al.), where GPT-4 rated how much of each task an AI tool could meaningfully speed up. This is the most recent open, commercially-usable occupation-level potential dataset — it dates to 2023. Newer multi-model re-runs exist but swing wildly (one 2026 study saw "high-risk" jobs range 2.7%–51.5% by model) and aren't openly licensed, so we show the stable 2023 baseline and pair it with newer real-world data.

Real-world AI use 2026 report

From the Anthropic Economic Index, which observes how real Claude conversations map onto each occupation's tasks. Published in Anthropic's March 2026 labor-market report, based on usage measured in Aug & Nov 2025 (Sonnet 4 / 4.5).

Task list & ratings O*NET 30.3

Tasks come from O*NET 30.3. Each task's "AI can do / speeds up / still on you" tier uses the real task-level exposure scores from GPTs-are-GPTs (E1 / E2 / E0) — not a guess from keywords.

Sources: O*NET 30.3 (CC BY 4.0) · GPTs-are-GPTs (MIT, 2023) · Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY, Aug & Nov 2025). Page compiled June 2026. "O*NET" is a trademark of the U.S. Department of Labor.

This page is for general informational purposes only and is not career, financial, or employment advice. AI exposure reflects research estimates of task overlap, not predictions about any individual's job, employer, or future employment.